Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.051528 0.055972 0.060473 0.065366 0.070528 0.075804 0.081599
2025-06-01 0.043888 0.050346 0.057128 0.064751 0.073055 0.081800 0.091677
2025-06-08 0.039807 0.047860 0.056576 0.066651 0.077910 0.090046 0.104055
2025-06-15 0.036208 0.045437 0.055704 0.067862 0.081753 0.097022 0.114966
2025-06-22 0.033020 0.043120 0.054644 0.068591 0.084840 0.103009 0.124690
2025-06-29 0.030023 0.040734 0.053249 0.068706 0.087038 0.107852 0.133030
2025-07-06 0.028463 0.039909 0.053556 0.070701 0.091336 0.115057 0.144067
2025-07-13 0.025851 0.037572 0.051860 0.070137 0.092474 0.118486 0.150657
2025-07-20 0.023906 0.035928 0.050881 0.070324 0.094417 0.122794 0.158235
2025-07-27 0.022562 0.034954 0.050652 0.071361 0.097333 0.128227 0.167139
2025-08-03 0.021599 0.034409 0.050907 0.072958 0.100909 0.134447 0.177001
2025-08-10 0.019098 0.031616 0.048107 0.070536 0.099373 0.134371 0.179204
2025-08-17 0.017502 0.030011 0.046829 0.070062 0.100306 0.137378 0.185263
2025-08-24 0.016053 0.028520 0.045628 0.069627 0.101248 0.140380 0.191326
2025-08-31 0.015598 0.028447 0.046342 0.071725 0.105458 0.147489 0.202512
2025-09-07 0.014921 0.027993 0.046495 0.073046 0.108656 0.153339 0.212173
2025-09-14 0.014126 0.027308 0.046279 0.073837 0.111141 0.158288 0.220731
2025-09-21 0.013193 0.026344 0.045615 0.073968 0.112728 0.162081 0.227843
2025-09-28 0.012901 0.026375 0.046376 0.076073 0.116950 0.169274 0.239289
2025-10-05 0.011877 0.025154 0.045246 0.075481 0.117519 0.171740 0.244736
2025-10-12 0.011140 0.024356 0.044700 0.075680 0.119132 0.175546 0.251893
2025-10-19 0.010682 0.023997 0.044792 0.076772 0.121952 0.180928 0.261086
2025-10-26 0.010397 0.023915 0.045294 0.078452 0.125586 0.187396 0.271711